High Stakes Poker Results, Variance and Swings, Superuser?

August 15, 2008

To try something a little different, and hopefully provide value to all you aspiring high stakes gamblers I decided to take a look at the high stakes poker results of the biggest games around to see if there were any trends we could learn something from.

First I took the results published by highstakesdb.com – which provides the top 50 and bottom 50 winners and losers for each month. The results are from 1/1/07 thru 7/31/08, including Omaha and Holdem on Ladbrokes/Prima/Fulltilt networks. High stakes horse is also included in the 7/08 monthly results.

I compiled all these monthly reports into a single spreadsheet workbook in Excel, and then combined the months to provide a data set of 19 months of the high stakes poker world. My initial theory was that the biggest high stakes players have the biggest swings but I wanted to visually see the difference between, if they are constantly playing the biggest games, or game selecting and ‘taking shots’…

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David Singer Wins $25k HU on Fulltilt

May 25, 2008

Congrats to David Singer – a gentleman and a scholar of the poker community.  He’s having a nice run, winning a cool $1M in the Caesars last October, finished 2nd in the 2007 Vegas Open for $200k, and now $560k from the Heads Up $25k event that went down over the weekend on Tilt.

Some other notables from that event: Patrik Antonius (finddagrind) finished 5th, Cardrunners notable Brian Hastings finished 3rd, Gus Hansen finished second to last in 65th, Steve Sung and Taylor Caby finished in the middle of the pack.

It was a cool event, lets hope the Tilt decides to do more of them…

GG all.

$2.5M River Card

April 26, 2008

Gus Hansen, the man with 85% of chips in play, down to two at the WPT Championship, $25k event at the Bellagio is currently blessed with the anti-doom switch.  He’s had a set over set situation to bust Tommy Legend, he needed a non-flush 7 outter on river to bust another, and shoved with 7hi flush draw against second place chips with 4 left….GG Gus, $3.3M is alright.  I’m sure the other guys that play high stakes PLO with him on Tilt are excited.

Check out the biggest pot of the tourney, where he was involved with Cory Carroll – nice call Cory – tough result, a $2.5M ish downtick, but nice call anyway: as reported by cardplayer….

Cory CarrollHand #16  –  David Chiu has the button in seat 3, and there is no small blind. Hansen raises from the cutoff to 480,000, Carroll reraises from the big blind to 1.65 million, and Hansen thinks for a bit before he calls. The two chipleaders apparently aren’t afraid to mix it up in a big pot. 

The flop comes QJ6, Carroll checks, and Hansen stands up to get a better look at Carroll’s chip stack across the table. After about two minutes of thinking with a pained expression on his face, Gus Hansen moves all in, and the crowd gasps. 

Carroll looks surprised, but he takes his time, rechecking his cards and taking a close look at his own chip stack. If he calls and wins, he would be a dominant chipleader with 15 million, but if he loses, he’s out of the tournament in fourth place. If he folds, he’ll still have a little less than 6 million in chips, which is still a solid second on the leaderboard. Carroll seems to be studying everything but his opponent — he only gives occasional glances Hansen’s way. 

Several times, it looks like Carroll has come to a decision, but then he continues thinking. He’s definitely not Hollywooding it here. 

Carroll finally calls all in for 6,925,000, and the crowd gasps. Carroll shows AJfor a pair of jacks. Hansen shows 75 for a diamond flush draw, and he’ll need to improve to bust Carroll here. 

The turn is the Q, and Carroll is still in the lead with two pair. Hansen needs any diamond but the queen (which would give Carroll a full house) to win the pot. 

The river card is — the 3

The crowd screams as Gus Hansen rivers a diamond flush to win the biggest pot of the tournament. 

Cory Carroll made the right call but got the wrong result, and he is eliminated in fourth place, earning $593,645. 

Gus Hansen’s Full Tilt Account

February 7, 2008

Apparently Gus Hansen is blogging for cardplayer now, as he accounts the past few weeks on Full Tilt:

Last 2 weeks on Full Tilt Poker looks like this:
Day 1 through day 3: 1 Million
Day 4 through day 6: – 650K
Day 7 through day 14: 1.1 Million

End result: 1.45 million. Pretty good, for a B-student from Noerrebro. For everybody out there with no knowledge about Danish geography, Noerrebro is part of inner city Copenhagen. For everyone out there who has never heard of Copenhagen – pick up a fu**ing map! Read the rest of this entry »